The best indicator for A. O. Smith (AOS)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real A. O. Smith (AOS) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
EMA 20/50 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for A. O. Smith (AOS) over ~42.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.5% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.7% | 0.57 | -47.8% | 48.2% | 85 | -1.5% |
| 2 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 8.6% | 0.52 | -46.4% | 69.1% | 288 | -3.6% |
| 3 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.48 | -53.8% | 38.5% | 109 | -3.1% |
| 4 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.3% | 0.46 | -57.3% | 40.0% | 30 | -3.9% |
| 5 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Daily | 8.0% | 0.46 | -75.9% | 42.2% | 945 | -4.2% |
| 6 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.46 | -48.5% | 48.8% | 129 | -3.8% |
| 7 | Rate of Change | Daily | 7.5% | 0.44 | -65.0% | 44.8% | 668 | -4.7% |
| 8 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 7.8% | 0.44 | -48.4% | 41.9% | 86 | -4.4% |
| 9 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 7.1% | 0.44 | -43.1% | 76.7% | 43 | -5.1% |
| 10 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.43 | -51.2% | 40.6% | 32 | -5.1% |
| 11 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Daily | 7.1% | 0.42 | -83.9% | 45.1% | 2003 | -5.1% |
| 12 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 6.8% | 0.41 | -72.8% | 40.6% | 566 | -5.4% |
| 13 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 6.9% | 0.4 | -70.6% | 46.9% | 32 | -5.3% |
| 14 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 6.0% | 0.4 | -56.2% | 44.2% | 181 | -6.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For A. O. Smith (AOS), EMA 20/50 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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