The best indicator for Adobe Inc. (ADBE)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Adobe Inc. (ADBE) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Rate of Change
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Adobe Inc. (ADBE) over ~40.0 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.9% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 12.6% | 0.53 | -68.9% | 50.5% | 111 | -6.9% |
| 2 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.5% | 0.53 | -67.0% | 44.7% | 179 | -7.0% |
| 3 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.8% | 0.52 | -73.2% | 52.5% | 80 | -6.8% |
| 4 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 11.7% | 0.51 | -71.0% | 51.8% | 112 | -7.8% |
| 5 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 10.8% | 0.48 | -77.1% | 47.6% | 105 | -8.7% |
| 6 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 10.7% | 0.47 | -72.7% | 70.8% | 144 | -9.0% |
| 7 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 9.8% | 0.45 | -86.3% | 40.6% | 535 | -9.9% |
| 8 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 9.8% | 0.45 | -87.3% | 44.0% | 636 | -9.9% |
| 9 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.44 | -83.1% | 50.0% | 362 | -10.1% |
| 10 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.1% | 0.42 | -69.5% | 42.9% | 21 | -10.5% |
| 11 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.42 | -65.6% | 52.3% | 86 | -11.2% |
| 12 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 7.8% | 0.42 | -59.2% | 81.1% | 37 | -11.7% |
| 13 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 8.2% | 0.41 | -69.6% | 71.6% | 194 | -11.4% |
| 14 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 6.9% | 0.39 | -69.7% | 50.0% | 40 | -12.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Adobe Inc. (ADBE), Rate of Change on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More stock
Get the weekly edge report
The best-performing indicator per asset, what changed this week, and the honest caveats — straight to your inbox.