The best indicator for Automatic Data Processing (ADP)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Automatic Data Processing (ADP) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Williams %R
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Automatic Data Processing (ADP) over ~46.2 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.6% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 9.2% | 0.62 | -51.3% | 70.3% | 316 | -5.6% |
| 2 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 10.0% | 0.61 | -41.5% | 75.8% | 178 | -4.8% |
| 3 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.9% | 0.59 | -44.4% | 62.5% | 24 | -3.9% |
| 4 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 8.0% | 0.55 | -50.8% | 71.0% | 231 | -6.9% |
| 5 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.1% | 0.52 | -47.3% | 64.5% | 31 | -5.7% |
| 6 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 6.9% | 0.52 | -45.6% | 86.8% | 68 | -7.9% |
| 7 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.51 | -53.0% | 73.6% | 235 | -7.5% |
| 8 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 6.4% | 0.5 | -43.0% | 71.4% | 199 | -8.4% |
| 9 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 6.8% | 0.46 | -43.8% | 52.8% | 36 | -7.9% |
| 10 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.61 | -38.5% | 63.6% | 11 | -3.3% |
| 11 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 5.6% | 0.44 | -51.9% | 88.1% | 59 | -9.1% |
| 12 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 5.2% | 0.4 | -46.3% | 81.8% | 33 | -9.5% |
| 13 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 5.9% | 0.4 | -62.0% | 48.5% | 163 | -8.9% |
| 14 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 3.8% | 0.39 | -36.3% | 82.1% | 56 | -11.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Automatic Data Processing (ADP), Williams %R on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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