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The best indicator for Ameren (AEE)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Ameren (AEE) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Volatility · Weekly

Bollinger Mean-Reversion

On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Ameren (AEE) over ~28.5 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.2% CAGR.

4.1%
CAGR
0.48
Sharpe
-25.8%
Max DD
87.0%
Win rate
8.41
Profit factor
-4.2%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Weekly
Bollinger Mean-Reversion
-4.2% · Sharpe 0.48
Daily
RSI Mean-Reversion
-4.1% · Sharpe 0.46
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1Bollinger Mean-Reversion Weekly4.1%0.48-25.8%87.0%23-4.2%
2RSI Mean-Reversion Daily4.1%0.46-22.4%84.6%39-4.1%
3CCI Daily5.5%0.45-48.2%70.8%137-2.7%
4Williams %R Weekly4.2%0.45-34.5%81.6%38-4.1%
5WaveTrend (8/6/4) Daily5.1%0.41-50.6%68.6%105-3.1%
6Holy Grail Confluence Daily3.8%0.38-25.4%71.9%32-4.4%
7EMA 20/50 Cross Weekly6.2%0.46-35.8%50.0%12-2.0%
8Stochastic Daily3.4%0.33-43.7%65.1%126-4.8%
9EMA 50/200 Cross Daily4.0%0.32-39.9%40.0%20-4.2%
10MACD Daily3.5%0.32-31.8%42.7%279-4.7%
11Stochastic Weekly2.4%0.31-33.6%85.0%20-5.9%
12SMA 50/200 Cross Daily3.7%0.3-40.0%52.4%21-4.5%
13Williams %R Daily3.2%0.29-55.4%70.2%181-5.0%
14Money Flow Index Daily2.8%0.29-51.4%85.0%20-5.4%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Ameren (AEE), Bollinger Mean-Reversion on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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