The best indicator for American International Group (AIG)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real American International Group (AIG) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
RSI Trend (>50)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for American International Group (AIG) over ~53.5 years — beating buy-and-hold by 4.2% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Daily | 13.2% | 0.56 | -81.4% | 44.5% | 2517 | 9.9% |
| 2 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 7.4% | 0.41 | -60.6% | 37.7% | 681 | 4.2% |
| 3 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 6.2% | 0.39 | -55.7% | 50.0% | 36 | 2.9% |
| 4 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 6.2% | 0.39 | -73.1% | 44.0% | 25 | 2.9% |
| 5 | EMA-10 Trend | Daily | 6.6% | 0.36 | -86.5% | 39.3% | 1173 | 3.3% |
| 6 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 5.2% | 0.35 | -61.0% | 46.9% | 32 | 1.9% |
| 7 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 5.5% | 0.35 | -45.2% | 36.7% | 128 | 2.2% |
| 8 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 4.9% | 0.33 | -59.5% | 46.6% | 148 | 1.6% |
| 9 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 4.6% | 0.3 | -63.1% | 44.5% | 254 | 1.4% |
| 10 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 4.1% | 0.28 | -80.1% | 36.7% | 723 | 0.8% |
| 11 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 4.7% | 0.27 | -87.9% | 45.5% | 110 | 1.5% |
| 12 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 3.3% | 0.25 | -87.4% | 42.3% | 874 | -0.0% |
| 13 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 2.6% | 0.23 | -92.9% | 39.4% | 546 | -0.7% |
| 14 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | 2.6% | 0.23 | -48.3% | 38.5% | 239 | -0.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For American International Group (AIG), RSI Trend (>50) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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