The best indicator for Applied Materials (AMAT)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Applied Materials (AMAT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Rate of Change
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Applied Materials (AMAT) over ~46.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.4% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 15.4% | 0.59 | -71.9% | 43.2% | 139 | -5.4% |
| 2 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 15.3% | 0.59 | -73.0% | 45.3% | 117 | -5.5% |
| 3 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 14.6% | 0.58 | -62.0% | 48.4% | 95 | -6.2% |
| 4 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 14.9% | 0.58 | -85.5% | 32.1% | 112 | -5.8% |
| 5 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 13.7% | 0.58 | -67.6% | 50.0% | 58 | -7.0% |
| 6 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 13.4% | 0.53 | -86.8% | 48.5% | 33 | -7.5% |
| 7 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.4% | 0.52 | -89.2% | 46.3% | 214 | -8.4% |
| 8 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 11.8% | 0.5 | -82.8% | 37.3% | 110 | -9.1% |
| 9 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 11.7% | 0.5 | -61.0% | 71.9% | 171 | -9.2% |
| 10 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 11.2% | 0.49 | -67.3% | 69.6% | 309 | -9.8% |
| 11 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 9.7% | 0.48 | -62.2% | 48.0% | 50 | -11.0% |
| 12 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.47 | -80.2% | 47.4% | 38 | -10.3% |
| 13 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 10.5% | 0.46 | -89.6% | 38.9% | 633 | -10.5% |
| 14 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.46 | -83.4% | 40.0% | 25 | -10.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Applied Materials (AMAT), Rate of Change on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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