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The best indicator for Aon plc (AON)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Aon plc (AON) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Volume · Daily

Money Flow Index

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Aon plc (AON) over ~46.0 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.6% CAGR.

10.6%
CAGR
0.7
Sharpe
-59.6%
Max DD
90.4%
Win rate
10.0
Profit factor
-2.6%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
Money Flow Index
-2.6% · Sharpe 0.7
Weekly
CCI
-5.8% · Sharpe 0.55
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1Money Flow Index Daily10.6%0.7-59.6%90.4%52-2.6%
2CCI Weekly7.3%0.55-26.6%83.7%49-5.8%
3WaveTrend (8/6/4) Daily8.5%0.51-63.6%71.3%164-4.8%
4Stochastic Weekly6.9%0.51-49.7%85.4%41-6.2%
5Williams %R Weekly7.6%0.51-39.6%80.0%60-5.6%
6Stochastic Daily7.1%0.48-61.1%71.6%222-6.2%
7Williams %R Daily7.0%0.46-60.7%71.3%300-6.3%
8EMA 20/50 Cross Weekly7.3%0.44-65.3%45.8%24-5.9%
9WaveTrend (8/6/4) Weekly6.2%0.42-49.6%81.6%38-7.0%
10Bollinger Mean-Reversion Daily5.4%0.41-64.9%69.7%188-7.8%
11SMA 50/200 Cross Daily6.2%0.4-53.3%48.6%35-7.0%
12EMA 50/200 Cross Daily5.5%0.36-74.4%38.9%36-7.7%
13Holy Grail Confluence Daily4.6%0.35-59.6%77.8%63-8.6%
14Rate of Change Weekly4.8%0.34-44.7%48.7%158-8.3%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Aon plc (AON), Money Flow Index on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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