The best indicator for Aptiv (APTV)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Aptiv (APTV) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Rate of Change
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Aptiv (APTV) over ~14.5 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.1% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.41 | -43.6% | 40.6% | 229 | -3.1% |
| 2 | RSI Trend (>50) | Weekly | 5.7% | 0.36 | -47.4% | 47.2% | 36 | -4.7% |
| 3 | ADX / DMI | Weekly | 4.5% | 0.36 | -44.8% | 30.0% | 20 | -6.0% |
| 4 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 6.0% | 0.36 | -51.9% | 66.7% | 18 | -4.4% |
| 5 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 5.7% | 0.35 | -43.3% | 39.9% | 198 | -4.7% |
| 6 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 6.6% | 0.39 | -44.7% | 84.6% | 13 | -3.8% |
| 7 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 5.3% | 0.33 | -57.7% | 66.7% | 15 | -5.1% |
| 8 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.4 | -49.9% | 75.0% | 12 | -3.2% |
| 9 | EMA 20/50 Cross | Daily | 4.1% | 0.29 | -68.1% | 28.6% | 35 | -6.3% |
| 10 | Donchian Breakout | Weekly | 5.5% | 0.39 | -36.8% | 45.5% | 11 | -4.9% |
| 11 | MACD | Daily | 3.9% | 0.28 | -48.7% | 42.8% | 152 | -6.5% |
| 12 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 3.7% | 0.28 | -59.8% | 72.7% | 22 | -6.7% |
| 13 | MACD | Weekly | 3.8% | 0.28 | -71.3% | 39.3% | 28 | -6.6% |
| 14 | Williams %R | Daily | 3.6% | 0.27 | -67.5% | 69.1% | 97 | -6.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Aptiv (APTV), Rate of Change on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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