The best indicator for Ares Management (ARES)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Ares Management (ARES) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
RSI Trend (>50)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Ares Management (ARES) over ~12.1 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.5% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 19.7% | 0.88 | -34.5% | 40.0% | 145 | -2.5% |
| 2 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 15.5% | 0.72 | -37.7% | 40.6% | 155 | -6.6% |
| 3 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 15.6% | 0.72 | -36.4% | 46.9% | 49 | -6.4% |
| 4 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 11.7% | 0.59 | -35.2% | 44.0% | 193 | -10.5% |
| 5 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 12.2% | 0.58 | -44.2% | 36.7% | 30 | -9.8% |
| 6 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Daily | 11.0% | 0.56 | -35.3% | 40.9% | 274 | -11.2% |
| 7 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 11.3% | 0.56 | -36.7% | 59.5% | 111 | -10.7% |
| 8 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 11.6% | 0.56 | -47.4% | 42.9% | 35 | -10.5% |
| 9 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 11.1% | 0.55 | -55.0% | 41.7% | 36 | -11.0% |
| 10 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 9.2% | 0.52 | -33.0% | 58.3% | 48 | -13.0% |
| 11 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 10.1% | 0.51 | -50.8% | 78.6% | 42 | -12.1% |
| 12 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.8% | 0.47 | -51.6% | 40.0% | 30 | -13.3% |
| 13 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 7.3% | 0.47 | -48.8% | 47.1% | 17 | -14.7% |
| 14 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 8.0% | 0.47 | -45.2% | 86.7% | 15 | -14.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Ares Management (ARES), RSI Trend (>50) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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