The best indicator for American Water Works (AWK)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real American Water Works (AWK) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Williams %R
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for American Water Works (AWK) over ~18.1 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.6% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 10.6% | 0.78 | -16.5% | 68.6% | 121 | -2.6% |
| 2 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 8.3% | 0.68 | -25.4% | 71.4% | 91 | -4.9% |
| 3 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 8.2% | 0.65 | -29.9% | 92.0% | 25 | -5.0% |
| 4 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.68 | -12.6% | 100.0% | 14 | -5.9% |
| 5 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 7.1% | 0.61 | -27.7% | 82.4% | 17 | -6.1% |
| 6 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 7.8% | 0.54 | -31.2% | 66.7% | 66 | -5.4% |
| 7 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 3.9% | 0.52 | -10.0% | 71.4% | 21 | -9.3% |
| 8 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 5.6% | 0.5 | -22.0% | 85.7% | 21 | -7.3% |
| 9 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 6.6% | 0.49 | -31.2% | 70.5% | 88 | -6.6% |
| 10 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion | Daily | 5.4% | 0.48 | -32.4% | 71.9% | 64 | -7.7% |
| 11 | SMA 50/200 Cross | Daily | 8.3% | 0.53 | -41.6% | 53.8% | 13 | -4.9% |
| 12 | Donchian Breakout | Weekly | 6.0% | 0.49 | -33.5% | 53.8% | 13 | -6.9% |
| 13 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 4.8% | 0.42 | -24.5% | 85.7% | 14 | -8.1% |
| 14 | EMA 50/200 Cross | Daily | 9.8% | 0.6 | -39.5% | 33.3% | 9 | -3.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For American Water Works (AWK), Williams %R on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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