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The best indicator for Bunge Global (BG)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Bunge Global (BG) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Momentum · Weekly

MACD

On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Bunge Global (BG) over ~24.9 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.7% CAGR.

9.1%
CAGR
0.52
Sharpe
-33.9%
Max DD
58.1%
Win rate
3.58
Profit factor
-1.7%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Weekly
MACD
-1.7% · Sharpe 0.52
Daily
SMA 50/200 Cross
-4.2% · Sharpe 0.4
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1MACD Weekly9.1%0.52-33.9%58.1%43-1.7%
2WaveTrend (8/6/4) Weekly7.5%0.46-62.9%78.3%23-3.3%
3SMA 50/200 Cross Daily6.7%0.4-51.6%47.8%23-4.2%
4Williams %R Daily6.7%0.4-73.2%68.7%163-4.2%
5EMA-10 Trend Weekly6.6%0.4-47.7%47.9%119-4.2%
6Bollinger Mean-Reversion Weekly5.2%0.39-38.3%71.4%21-5.7%
7RSI Trend (>50) Weekly6.1%0.38-51.5%44.6%74-4.7%
8Donchian Midline Weekly6.1%0.38-46.0%48.4%64-4.8%
9Bollinger Breakout Weekly4.2%0.35-34.6%47.8%23-6.6%
10EMA 50/200 Cross Daily5.2%0.34-64.6%26.1%23-5.8%
11EMA 20/50 Cross Weekly5.6%0.36-59.3%35.7%14-5.3%
12Heikin-Ashi Trend Weekly5.1%0.33-50.5%51.5%237-5.8%
13WaveTrend (8/6/4) Daily4.5%0.31-73.9%65.2%92-6.4%
14Donchian Breakout Weekly4.2%0.31-54.4%45.5%22-6.7%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Bunge Global (BG), MACD on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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