The best indicator for Constellation Energy (CEG)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Constellation Energy (CEG) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
RSI Trend (>50)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Constellation Energy (CEG) over ~4.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 14.7% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 37.8% | 1.04 | -39.1% | 43.1% | 51 | -14.7% |
| 2 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 33.6% | 1.03 | -27.1% | 62.5% | 16 | -18.9% |
| 3 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 23.6% | 0.95 | -25.0% | 79.2% | 24 | -28.9% |
| 4 | Bollinger Breakout | Daily | 21.6% | 0.81 | -33.1% | 65.0% | 20 | -30.9% |
| 5 | Donchian Midline | Daily | 26.4% | 0.81 | -39.2% | 34.5% | 58 | -26.0% |
| 6 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 25.0% | 0.8 | -36.6% | 53.8% | 39 | -24.5% |
| 7 | EMA-10 Trend | Weekly | 22.2% | 0.72 | -37.3% | 31.8% | 22 | -27.3% |
| 8 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 20.7% | 0.7 | -43.9% | 39.0% | 41 | -31.7% |
| 9 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) | Daily | 18.4% | 0.7 | -31.9% | 76.5% | 17 | -34.0% |
| 10 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 27.5% | 0.86 | -27.8% | 50.0% | 12 | -22.0% |
| 11 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 19.8% | 0.67 | -33.9% | 43.2% | 81 | -32.6% |
| 12 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion | Daily | 12.4% | 0.63 | -30.2% | 86.7% | 15 | -40.0% |
| 13 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 15.7% | 0.62 | -40.3% | 58.6% | 29 | -36.8% |
| 14 | CCI | Daily | 13.9% | 0.6 | -27.7% | 70.0% | 20 | -38.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Constellation Energy (CEG), RSI Trend (>50) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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