The best indicator for Church & Dwight (CHD)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Church & Dwight (CHD) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Stochastic
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Church & Dwight (CHD) over ~46.2 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.7% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 10.2% | 0.68 | -47.3% | 75.5% | 212 | -5.7% |
| 2 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 9.2% | 0.68 | -25.8% | 97.1% | 35 | -6.6% |
| 3 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 8.7% | 0.62 | -47.3% | 74.3% | 70 | -7.2% |
| 4 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 7.6% | 0.62 | -21.7% | 85.0% | 40 | -8.3% |
| 5 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.62 | -27.7% | 93.3% | 45 | -8.4% |
| 6 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.8% | 0.57 | -53.6% | 60.0% | 15 | -5.0% |
| 7 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 8.2% | 0.54 | -50.8% | 70.4% | 297 | -7.7% |
| 8 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 5.2% | 0.53 | -26.1% | 91.7% | 36 | -10.7% |
| 9 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 6.6% | 0.53 | -27.7% | 84.6% | 52 | -9.3% |
| 10 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 7.7% | 0.5 | -49.4% | 74.7% | 170 | -8.2% |
| 11 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.4% | 0.47 | -56.9% | 51.7% | 29 | -7.5% |
| 12 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.5% | 0.46 | -47.9% | 47.7% | 107 | -8.4% |
| 13 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 7.6% | 0.45 | -42.9% | 48.4% | 124 | -8.3% |
| 14 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.44 | -40.2% | 51.8% | 137 | -8.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Church & Dwight (CHD), Stochastic on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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