The best indicator for CMS Energy (CMS)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real CMS Energy (CMS) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
EMA 50/200 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for CMS Energy (CMS) over ~53.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 4.5% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.4% | 0.56 | -46.6% | 44.4% | 27 | 4.5% |
| 2 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.9% | 0.52 | -53.0% | 45.5% | 33 | 4.0% |
| 3 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 6.6% | 0.45 | -53.9% | 40.0% | 115 | 2.7% |
| 4 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 6.3% | 0.45 | -53.6% | 50.0% | 22 | 2.4% |
| 5 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 5.7% | 0.42 | -51.1% | 39.0% | 146 | 1.8% |
| 6 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 5.2% | 0.42 | -49.5% | 55.3% | 38 | 1.3% |
| 7 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 4.0% | 0.37 | -48.1% | 58.3% | 48 | 0.1% |
| 8 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | 3.9% | 0.36 | -55.9% | 44.6% | 242 | 0.0% |
| 9 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 5.0% | 0.36 | -51.7% | 52.4% | 166 | 1.1% |
| 10 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 4.1% | 0.35 | -47.5% | 44.6% | 74 | 0.1% |
| 11 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 4.8% | 0.35 | -56.8% | 46.2% | 143 | 0.9% |
| 12 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 4.0% | 0.33 | -52.1% | 45.8% | 212 | 0.1% |
| 13 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 4.1% | 0.31 | -62.3% | 39.0% | 707 | 0.2% |
| 14 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 4.0% | 0.31 | -58.8% | 47.2% | 250 | 0.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For CMS Energy (CMS), EMA 50/200 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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