The best indicator for Capital One (COF)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Capital One (COF) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
WaveTrend (8/6/4)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Capital One (COF) over ~31.5 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.4% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 11.8% | 0.5 | -70.2% | 74.0% | 127 | -1.4% |
| 2 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 9.2% | 0.45 | -64.6% | 77.8% | 54 | -3.9% |
| 3 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.45 | -83.6% | 82.1% | 28 | -2.4% |
| 4 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.44 | -79.3% | 74.4% | 39 | -3.1% |
| 5 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 8.8% | 0.43 | -69.5% | 70.9% | 165 | -4.4% |
| 6 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 9.3% | 0.43 | -60.9% | 46.2% | 65 | -3.7% |
| 7 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.41 | -82.9% | 67.4% | 46 | -3.9% |
| 8 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 7.9% | 0.4 | -75.4% | 79.3% | 29 | -5.2% |
| 9 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.4 | -80.5% | 70.6% | 34 | -4.2% |
| 10 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 7.4% | 0.39 | -69.9% | 72.9% | 155 | -5.7% |
| 11 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 6.5% | 0.36 | -81.0% | 47.6% | 21 | -6.6% |
| 12 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 6.0% | 0.35 | -69.1% | 36.0% | 75 | -7.2% |
| 13 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 5.5% | 0.33 | -85.3% | 71.6% | 215 | -7.7% |
| 14 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Daily | 4.9% | 0.31 | -92.7% | 44.9% | 1554 | -8.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Capital One (COF), WaveTrend (8/6/4) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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