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The best indicator for Campbell's Company (The) (CPB)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Campbell's Company (The) (CPB) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Oscillator · Daily

Stochastic

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Campbell's Company (The) (CPB) over ~53.3 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.1% CAGR.

5.7%
CAGR
0.44
Sharpe
-41.2%
Max DD
67.9%
Win rate
1.77
Profit factor
-1.1%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
Stochastic
-1.1% · Sharpe 0.44
Weekly
EMA 20/50 Cross
-0.8% · Sharpe 0.4
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1Stochastic Daily5.7%0.44-41.2%67.9%287-1.1%
2Holy Grail Confluence Daily5.0%0.42-38.3%71.7%92-1.8%
3RSI Mean-Reversion Daily3.6%0.41-36.4%82.9%76-3.2%
4Bollinger Mean-Reversion Daily4.5%0.41-47.4%75.1%233-2.3%
5EMA 20/50 Cross Weekly5.9%0.4-52.8%34.8%23-0.8%
6SMA 50/200 Cross Daily5.2%0.36-61.9%47.5%40-1.6%
7WaveTrend (8/6/4) Daily4.4%0.34-61.8%66.2%210-2.4%
8EMA 50/200 Cross Daily4.5%0.33-58.8%33.3%39-2.3%
9CCI Daily3.7%0.31-58.5%70.6%269-3.1%
10Williams %R Daily3.2%0.28-50.9%63.3%346-3.6%
11Money Flow IndexDaily3.2%0.28-58.1%71.0%62-3.6%
12Donchian Breakout Weekly3.1%0.27-40.1%42.5%40-3.6%
13Bollinger Mean-Reversion Weekly2.4%0.26-27.0%66.7%45-4.3%
14Rate of Change Weekly2.6%0.23-46.1%44.3%183-4.1%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Campbell's Company (The) (CPB), Stochastic on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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