The best indicator for Delta Air Lines (DAL)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Delta Air Lines (DAL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
WaveTrend (8/6/4)
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Delta Air Lines (DAL) over ~19.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 6.1% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 14.2% | 0.56 | -73.4% | 84.2% | 19 | 6.1% |
| 2 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | 8.6% | 0.47 | -36.7% | 44.0% | 84 | 0.5% |
| 3 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.46 | -73.4% | 77.3% | 22 | 2.2% |
| 4 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 9.0% | 0.42 | -70.0% | 74.0% | 100 | 0.8% |
| 5 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 8.9% | 0.42 | -52.2% | 43.5% | 285 | 0.7% |
| 6 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.39 | -58.5% | 75.0% | 20 | -0.7% |
| 7 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Daily | 7.0% | 0.37 | -49.8% | 44.8% | 424 | -1.1% |
| 8 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 5.6% | 0.33 | -73.4% | 70.4% | 27 | -2.5% |
| 9 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 5.2% | 0.32 | -50.7% | 78.9% | 19 | -2.8% |
| 10 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 4.5% | 0.3 | -73.1% | 45.4% | 183 | -3.6% |
| 11 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 4.7% | 0.3 | -55.5% | 44.1% | 256 | -3.5% |
| 12 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 4.3% | 0.29 | -60.0% | 40.0% | 40 | -3.8% |
| 13 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 3.0% | 0.28 | -75.0% | 66.7% | 18 | -5.1% |
| 14 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 2.8% | 0.27 | -76.1% | 68.5% | 73 | -5.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Delta Air Lines (DAL), WaveTrend (8/6/4) on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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