The best indicator for Deckers Brands (DECK)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Deckers Brands (DECK) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Donchian Breakout
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Deckers Brands (DECK) over ~32.8 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.5% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 14.1% | 0.57 | -73.1% | 45.0% | 20 | -0.5% |
| 2 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 15.4% | 0.56 | -71.0% | 50.0% | 22 | 0.6% |
| 3 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 15.3% | 0.56 | -64.4% | 67.5% | 166 | 0.6% |
| 4 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 14.0% | 0.53 | -84.4% | 38.1% | 21 | -0.8% |
| 5 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.8% | 0.51 | -68.4% | 46.7% | 15 | -1.8% |
| 6 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 12.7% | 0.5 | -92.2% | 41.2% | 85 | -2.0% |
| 7 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 12.2% | 0.48 | -76.6% | 73.8% | 221 | -2.5% |
| 8 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 10.7% | 0.46 | -66.4% | 39.6% | 48 | -4.0% |
| 9 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 10.0% | 0.44 | -73.1% | 67.2% | 137 | -4.8% |
| 10 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.44 | -88.1% | 47.2% | 106 | -4.3% |
| 11 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.43 | -89.3% | 43.2% | 95 | -4.8% |
| 12 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 8.8% | 0.41 | -77.3% | 71.2% | 163 | -5.9% |
| 13 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 8.4% | 0.39 | -73.2% | 43.5% | 69 | -6.3% |
| 14 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 6.5% | 0.35 | -94.9% | 37.0% | 73 | -8.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Deckers Brands (DECK), Donchian Breakout on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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