The best indicator for Duke Energy (DUK)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Duke Energy (DUK) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
EMA 50/200 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Duke Energy (DUK) over ~46.2 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.6% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.1% | 0.62 | -37.4% | 52.4% | 21 | -2.6% |
| 2 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.7% | 0.6 | -42.6% | 65.4% | 26 | -3.0% |
| 3 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.64 | -33.2% | 71.4% | 14 | -1.7% |
| 4 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 5.8% | 0.49 | -42.8% | 60.6% | 33 | -5.8% |
| 5 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 5.0% | 0.43 | -53.9% | 78.2% | 55 | -6.7% |
| 6 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 5.2% | 0.42 | -55.6% | 75.0% | 172 | -6.6% |
| 7 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 4.6% | 0.42 | -46.6% | 85.0% | 60 | -7.0% |
| 8 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 3.9% | 0.41 | -48.4% | 83.3% | 30 | -7.7% |
| 9 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 4.0% | 0.41 | -41.6% | 85.7% | 35 | -7.6% |
| 10 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 5.0% | 0.4 | -47.7% | 46.8% | 139 | -6.6% |
| 11 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 4.1% | 0.37 | -54.3% | 71.0% | 217 | -7.7% |
| 12 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 3.3% | 0.36 | -46.2% | 80.0% | 60 | -8.4% |
| 13 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 3.9% | 0.36 | -46.2% | 85.2% | 54 | -7.8% |
| 14 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 3.9% | 0.34 | -47.0% | 41.1% | 635 | -7.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Duke Energy (DUK), EMA 50/200 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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