The best indicator for eBay Inc. (EBAY)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real eBay Inc. (EBAY) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Donchian Breakout
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for eBay Inc. (EBAY) over ~27.6 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 9.6% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 10.2% | 0.48 | -56.6% | 50.0% | 110 | -9.6% |
| 2 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.7% | 0.46 | -56.8% | 52.4% | 21 | -10.1% |
| 3 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 8.7% | 0.45 | -50.2% | 72.0% | 118 | -11.1% |
| 4 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 10.0% | 0.44 | -60.8% | 42.3% | 423 | -9.8% |
| 5 | RSI Trend (>50) | Daily | 9.3% | 0.43 | -62.4% | 37.9% | 388 | -10.5% |
| 6 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.0% | 0.43 | -54.7% | 49.6% | 254 | -10.0% |
| 7 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 8.1% | 0.41 | -58.9% | 38.4% | 185 | -11.8% |
| 8 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 7.7% | 0.39 | -74.1% | 46.6% | 266 | -12.2% |
| 9 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | 6.7% | 0.38 | -48.4% | 46.3% | 134 | -13.2% |
| 10 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 7.1% | 0.38 | -69.3% | 43.6% | 78 | -12.9% |
| 11 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 6.7% | 0.37 | -74.6% | 38.1% | 21 | -13.1% |
| 12 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.37 | -77.9% | 70.2% | 104 | -12.5% |
| 13 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 6.0% | 0.36 | -38.3% | 71.4% | 35 | -13.9% |
| 14 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Daily | 6.7% | 0.35 | -78.5% | 37.3% | 630 | -13.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For eBay Inc. (EBAY), Donchian Breakout on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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