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The best indicator for Expeditors International (EXPD)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Expeditors International (EXPD) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Oscillator · Daily

WaveTrend (8/6/4)

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Expeditors International (EXPD) over ~41.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.6% CAGR.

13.1%
CAGR
0.64
Sharpe
-48.6%
Max DD
74.1%
Win rate
3.85
Profit factor
-5.6%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
WaveTrend (8/6/4)
-5.6% · Sharpe 0.64
Weekly
CCI
-8.8% · Sharpe 0.63
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1WaveTrend (8/6/4) Daily13.1%0.64-48.6%74.1%162-5.6%
2CCI Weekly9.9%0.63-35.7%90.2%41-8.8%
3CCI Daily10.8%0.6-46.2%73.8%210-7.8%
4Bollinger Mean-Reversion Daily9.4%0.59-37.4%66.3%181-9.3%
5WaveTrend (8/6/4) Weekly9.1%0.57-46.5%78.8%33-9.6%
6EMA 20/50 Cross Weekly11.2%0.53-49.5%61.1%18-7.4%
7Holy Grail Confluence Daily7.7%0.52-37.1%77.2%57-11.0%
8Stochastic Daily8.7%0.51-40.6%71.1%194-10.0%
9Money Flow Index Daily8.7%0.48-45.0%73.4%64-10.0%
10Williams %R Weekly7.6%0.48-47.7%83.0%53-11.0%
11SMA 50/200 Cross Daily9.7%0.47-55.8%42.9%28-8.9%
12EMA 50/200 Cross Daily9.8%0.46-68.8%38.7%31-8.9%
13Stochastic Weekly6.2%0.44-47.7%83.3%36-12.4%
14Williams %R Daily7.2%0.42-43.6%68.4%269-11.5%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Expeditors International (EXPD), WaveTrend (8/6/4) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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