The best indicator for Expedia Group (EXPE)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Expedia Group (EXPE) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
CCI
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Expedia Group (EXPE) over ~20.8 years — beating buy-and-hold by 2.3% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 12.3% | 0.55 | -73.5% | 76.6% | 107 | 2.3% |
| 2 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 9.2% | 0.48 | -66.4% | 88.2% | 17 | -0.6% |
| 3 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.46 | -59.4% | 42.9% | 42 | 0.0% |
| 4 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 9.5% | 0.45 | -68.8% | 72.2% | 133 | -0.5% |
| 5 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 8.2% | 0.44 | -63.5% | 72.5% | 91 | -1.8% |
| 6 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 9.2% | 0.43 | -75.4% | 67.9% | 81 | -0.8% |
| 7 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.39 | -73.5% | 74.1% | 108 | -2.7% |
| 8 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 6.8% | 0.38 | -76.4% | 84.2% | 38 | -3.2% |
| 9 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 6.6% | 0.37 | -59.7% | 50.9% | 57 | -3.1% |
| 10 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 6.5% | 0.36 | -43.7% | 42.3% | 201 | -3.6% |
| 11 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Daily | 6.5% | 0.36 | -64.0% | 45.4% | 1014 | -3.5% |
| 12 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 6.2% | 0.36 | -70.8% | 75.0% | 20 | -3.6% |
| 13 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 5.4% | 0.35 | -64.0% | 82.4% | 34 | -4.6% |
| 14 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 4.2% | 0.29 | -58.9% | 41.1% | 321 | -5.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Expedia Group (EXPE), CCI on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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