The best indicator for Extra Space Storage (EXR)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Extra Space Storage (EXR) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Donchian Breakout
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Extra Space Storage (EXR) over ~21.9 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.0% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 12.6% | 0.71 | -35.1% | 69.2% | 13 | -4.0% |
| 2 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 14.4% | 0.74 | -44.3% | 66.7% | 12 | -2.3% |
| 3 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 8.8% | 0.55 | -45.6% | 74.5% | 94 | -7.8% |
| 4 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 9.4% | 0.53 | -45.6% | 70.4% | 108 | -7.2% |
| 5 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 9.2% | 0.52 | -50.9% | 73.0% | 137 | -7.5% |
| 6 | Donchian Midline | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.52 | -59.3% | 47.5% | 61 | -7.1% |
| 7 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.2% | 0.51 | -54.0% | 39.6% | 48 | -7.4% |
| 8 | RSI Trend (>50) | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.51 | -60.3% | 43.6% | 55 | -7.5% |
| 9 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.45 | -52.4% | 60.6% | 33 | -9.8% |
| 10 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 11.2% | 0.59 | -52.9% | 45.5% | 11 | -5.4% |
| 11 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.41 | -44.5% | 54.3% | 105 | -9.8% |
| 12 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 6.1% | 0.37 | -63.4% | 74.8% | 107 | -10.6% |
| 13 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 4.3% | 0.37 | -44.3% | 50.0% | 20 | -12.2% |
| 14 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 5.6% | 0.35 | -68.4% | 76.3% | 76 | -11.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Extra Space Storage (EXR), Donchian Breakout on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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