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The best indicator for Ford Motor Company (F)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Ford Motor Company (F) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Trend · Daily

EMA 20/50 Cross

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Ford Motor Company (F) over ~54.0 years — beating buy-and-hold by 0.5% CAGR.

8.8%
CAGR
0.47
Sharpe
-73.1%
Max DD
40.3%
Win rate
2.83
Profit factor
+0.5%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
EMA 20/50 Cross
+0.5% · Sharpe 0.47
Weekly
Donchian Midline
+0.1% · Sharpe 0.46
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1EMA 20/50 Cross Daily8.8%0.47-73.1%40.3%1190.5%
2Donchian Midline Weekly8.4%0.46-67.4%41.4%1450.1%
3EMA 20/50 Cross Weekly7.7%0.44-65.2%37.0%27-0.5%
4RSI Trend (>50) Weekly7.9%0.44-66.1%37.8%156-0.3%
5Donchian Breakout Weekly7.1%0.44-60.9%36.6%41-1.1%
6RSI Trend (>50) Daily7.8%0.43-78.4%38.1%749-0.4%
7EMA-10 Trend Weekly7.4%0.41-61.9%47.7%262-0.8%
8EMA 50/200 Cross Daily6.3%0.38-78.8%30.4%46-2.0%
9MACD Weekly6.8%0.38-90.1%40.0%105-1.4%
10Bollinger Breakout Weekly5.2%0.36-62.4%41.1%56-3.1%
11Rate of Change Weekly5.7%0.35-92.7%47.1%174-2.5%
12SMA 50/200 Cross Daily4.7%0.31-70.2%34.0%47-3.6%
13Rate of Change Daily4.7%0.31-69.4%40.8%879-3.6%
14Donchian Midline Daily4.9%0.31-72.2%40.4%774-3.4%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Ford Motor Company (F), EMA 20/50 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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