The best indicator for Fair Isaac (FICO)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Fair Isaac (FICO) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
CCI
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Fair Isaac (FICO) over ~39.0 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.7% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 14.4% | 0.72 | -41.5% | 88.1% | 42 | -4.7% |
| 2 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 12.8% | 0.62 | -50.2% | 85.4% | 41 | -6.4% |
| 3 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 12.4% | 0.58 | -50.3% | 87.9% | 58 | -6.8% |
| 4 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 12.1% | 0.56 | -76.9% | 83.9% | 31 | -7.0% |
| 5 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 13.0% | 0.55 | -61.4% | 53.3% | 15 | -6.1% |
| 6 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 13.2% | 0.53 | -69.5% | 47.8% | 23 | -6.1% |
| 7 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 11.1% | 0.49 | -52.1% | 50.7% | 144 | -8.1% |
| 8 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 8.0% | 0.49 | -41.4% | 82.8% | 29 | -11.1% |
| 9 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 11.1% | 0.47 | -63.8% | 59.3% | 27 | -8.2% |
| 10 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.43 | -73.7% | 44.9% | 78 | -10.7% |
| 11 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.43 | -65.7% | 49.1% | 57 | -11.0% |
| 12 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.49 | -62.0% | 84.6% | 13 | -10.3% |
| 13 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.37 | -84.9% | 43.3% | 104 | -12.4% |
| 14 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.36 | -85.3% | 43.3% | 178 | -12.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Fair Isaac (FICO), CCI on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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