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The best indicator for Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Trend · Daily

EMA 50/200 Cross

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) over ~46.2 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.5% CAGR.

12.4%
CAGR
0.65
Sharpe
-47.3%
Max DD
44.4%
Win rate
7.52
Profit factor
-0.5%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
EMA 50/200 Cross
-0.5% · Sharpe 0.65
Weekly
EMA 20/50 Cross
-1.8% · Sharpe 0.6
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1EMA 50/200 Cross Daily12.4%0.65-47.3%44.4%27-0.5%
2SMA 50/200 Cross Daily11.7%0.62-60.3%53.8%26-1.2%
3EMA 20/50 Cross Weekly11.1%0.6-53.1%63.2%19-1.8%
4Donchian Breakout Weekly8.1%0.53-55.9%58.3%36-4.8%
5ADX / DMI Weekly7.6%0.51-65.7%55.6%63-5.3%
6EMA 20/50 Cross Daily9.9%0.5-77.2%44.0%109-3.0%
7ADX / DMI Daily8.1%0.47-70.8%46.4%278-4.8%
8Donchian Midline Daily8.8%0.45-79.1%42.8%612-4.1%
9Bollinger Breakout Weekly5.3%0.44-53.2%51.2%43-7.6%
10Donchian Midline Weekly7.1%0.43-83.4%42.9%126-5.8%
11Bollinger BreakoutDaily6.5%0.41-79.9%47.2%197-6.4%
12Donchian Breakout Daily7.0%0.41-88.3%48.6%179-5.9%
13RSI Trend (>50) Weekly6.6%0.41-78.8%48.2%141-6.3%
14RSI Trend (>50) Daily7.2%0.4-92.3%42.9%616-5.7%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), EMA 50/200 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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