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The best indicator for Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Trend · Daily

SMA 50/200 Cross

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) over ~53.1 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.5% CAGR.

8.5%
CAGR
0.54
Sharpe
-58.8%
Max DD
62.5%
Win rate
5.32
Profit factor
-2.5%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
SMA 50/200 Cross
-2.5% · Sharpe 0.54
Weekly
EMA 20/50 Cross
-3.8% · Sharpe 0.48
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1SMA 50/200 Cross Daily8.5%0.54-58.8%62.5%32-2.5%
2EMA 50/200 Cross Daily8.1%0.51-57.5%41.7%36-2.9%
3Holy Grail Confluence Daily6.2%0.48-37.7%77.0%74-4.8%
4EMA 20/50 Cross Weekly7.2%0.48-51.5%45.0%20-3.8%
5WaveTrend (8/6/4) Daily6.9%0.45-51.0%73.3%195-4.1%
6Money Flow Index Daily6.7%0.43-55.6%73.6%72-4.3%
7Stochastic Daily5.6%0.41-45.5%70.4%240-5.4%
8CCI Daily5.5%0.4-48.5%72.8%268-5.5%
9Williams %R Daily5.3%0.39-46.1%71.0%362-5.7%
10RSI Trend (>50) Weekly5.4%0.39-62.8%44.6%139-5.6%
11Donchian Breakout Weekly4.3%0.35-62.2%56.4%39-6.6%
12Donchian Midline Weekly4.6%0.35-60.4%46.2%156-6.4%
13Bollinger Mean-Reversion Daily3.9%0.34-45.5%65.3%213-7.1%
14Williams %R Weekly3.6%0.3-48.8%67.2%58-7.3%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT), SMA 50/200 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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