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The best indicator for W. W. Grainger (GWW)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real W. W. Grainger (GWW) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Oscillator · Daily

WaveTrend (8/6/4)

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for W. W. Grainger (GWW) over ~53.3 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.7% CAGR.

9.9%
CAGR
0.58
Sharpe
-49.1%
Max DD
73.1%
Win rate
2.41
Profit factor
-2.7%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
WaveTrend (8/6/4)
-2.7% · Sharpe 0.58
Weekly
CCI
-4.6% · Sharpe 0.55
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1WaveTrend (8/6/4) Daily9.9%0.58-49.1%73.1%208-2.7%
2CCI Weekly7.8%0.55-52.9%84.2%57-4.6%
3Stochastic Weekly7.7%0.53-52.9%88.3%60-4.7%
4Money Flow Index Daily7.2%0.5-50.7%79.2%77-5.4%
5WaveTrend (8/6/4) Weekly7.5%0.48-53.7%87.0%46-5.0%
6Bollinger Mean-Reversion Weekly5.3%0.44-36.1%85.4%41-7.1%
7Williams %R Weekly6.3%0.44-53.7%81.3%75-6.2%
8Stochastic Daily6.1%0.43-47.9%66.1%289-6.4%
9RSI Mean-Reversion Daily4.6%0.41-33.7%81.2%85-8.0%
10Williams %R Daily5.7%0.41-49.5%67.8%366-6.9%
11CCI Daily5.8%0.41-42.2%68.3%259-6.7%
12Donchian Midline Daily6.2%0.41-41.6%39.2%738-6.4%
13RSI Trend (>50) Daily5.9%0.39-56.6%39.3%750-6.7%
14EMA-10 Trend Weekly6.0%0.39-60.4%43.0%251-6.4%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For W. W. Grainger (GWW), WaveTrend (8/6/4) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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