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The best indicator for Halliburton (HAL)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Halliburton (HAL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Trend · Daily

EMA 20/50 Cross

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Halliburton (HAL) over ~54.0 years — beating buy-and-hold by 2.3% CAGR.

8.9%
CAGR
0.46
Sharpe
-54.4%
Max DD
46.1%
Win rate
2.53
Profit factor
+2.3%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
EMA 20/50 Cross
+2.3% · Sharpe 0.46
Weekly
RSI Trend (>50)
+0.2% · Sharpe 0.38
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1EMA 20/50 Cross Daily8.9%0.46-54.4%46.1%1152.3%
2RSI Trend (>50) Daily7.5%0.41-76.1%33.8%7200.9%
3EMA-10 Trend Daily6.7%0.38-58.2%38.7%12050.1%
4RSI Trend (>50) Weekly6.8%0.38-69.9%48.9%1350.2%
5EMA 50/200 Cross Daily5.0%0.32-64.3%40.5%37-1.6%
6Rate of Change Weekly5.2%0.32-68.6%56.1%155-1.3%
7Heikin-Ashi Trend Daily5.0%0.31-75.6%43.7%2600-1.6%
8Donchian Midline Daily4.7%0.31-86.9%34.6%732-1.8%
9MACD Weekly4.8%0.31-54.4%45.5%112-1.7%
10EMA-10 Trend Weekly4.7%0.31-61.4%52.1%259-1.9%
11Donchian Midline Weekly4.5%0.3-73.9%55.4%157-2.0%
12ADX / DMI Weekly3.3%0.26-62.8%50.0%80-3.2%
13SMA 50/200 Cross Daily3.2%0.25-85.1%45.9%37-3.4%
14EMA 20/50 Cross Weekly3.0%0.25-74.4%44.4%27-3.5%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Halliburton (HAL), EMA 20/50 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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