The best indicator for Hartford (The) (HIG)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Hartford (The) (HIG) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
SMA 50/200 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Hartford (The) (HIG) over ~30.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 1.1% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.0% | 0.5 | -47.9% | 55.6% | 18 | 1.1% |
| 2 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.5 | -41.0% | 46.1% | 76 | 0.7% |
| 3 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.5% | 0.43 | -40.9% | 40.8% | 71 | -0.4% |
| 4 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 6.3% | 0.43 | -45.9% | 66.7% | 24 | -1.5% |
| 5 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 5.9% | 0.37 | -65.0% | 43.2% | 88 | -2.0% |
| 6 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 6.2% | 0.36 | -64.4% | 38.3% | 410 | -1.7% |
| 7 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 5.1% | 0.34 | -64.8% | 47.6% | 21 | -2.8% |
| 8 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 4.4% | 0.34 | -73.6% | 46.8% | 47 | -3.4% |
| 9 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 5.9% | 0.34 | -66.6% | 46.6% | 148 | -2.0% |
| 10 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 4.0% | 0.28 | -94.4% | 55.0% | 60 | -3.9% |
| 11 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 5.6% | 0.36 | -51.0% | 54.5% | 11 | -2.3% |
| 12 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 3.1% | 0.25 | -85.0% | 67.5% | 40 | -4.8% |
| 13 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 3.1% | 0.25 | -78.9% | 44.1% | 102 | -4.8% |
| 14 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 2.5% | 0.22 | -60.2% | 46.0% | 126 | -5.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Hartford (The) (HIG), SMA 50/200 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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