The best indicator for Hilton Worldwide (HLT)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Hilton Worldwide (HLT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Donchian Midline
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Hilton Worldwide (HLT) over ~12.5 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.2% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 11.9% | 0.66 | -33.9% | 52.9% | 34 | -6.2% |
| 2 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.65 | -28.9% | 46.7% | 30 | -6.6% |
| 3 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 11.5% | 0.64 | -45.0% | 72.0% | 50 | -6.9% |
| 4 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.58 | -25.9% | 84.2% | 19 | -9.6% |
| 5 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 9.1% | 0.56 | -43.1% | 76.2% | 63 | -9.4% |
| 6 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 7.7% | 0.49 | -49.4% | 79.4% | 63 | -10.8% |
| 7 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 7.8% | 0.5 | -37.5% | 85.7% | 14 | -10.3% |
| 8 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.45 | -31.9% | 57.4% | 47 | -10.8% |
| 9 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 6.9% | 0.44 | -43.2% | 72.3% | 83 | -11.5% |
| 10 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 6.9% | 0.44 | -31.7% | 39.2% | 171 | -11.6% |
| 11 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 6.2% | 0.41 | -47.8% | 37.6% | 173 | -12.2% |
| 12 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 5.9% | 0.4 | -31.5% | 45.0% | 131 | -12.6% |
| 13 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 5.9% | 0.38 | -39.7% | 38.9% | 36 | -12.6% |
| 14 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 5.1% | 0.38 | -46.2% | 72.5% | 51 | -13.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Hilton Worldwide (HLT), Donchian Midline on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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