The best indicator for Host Hotels & Resorts (HST)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Host Hotels & Resorts (HST) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
SMA 50/200 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Host Hotels & Resorts (HST) over ~46.2 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.6% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.7% | 0.43 | -65.2% | 40.0% | 35 | -3.6% |
| 2 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.39 | -77.3% | 68.8% | 176 | -4.0% |
| 3 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 6.0% | 0.37 | -67.2% | 36.1% | 36 | -5.3% |
| 4 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 6.3% | 0.37 | -60.3% | 38.2% | 110 | -5.0% |
| 5 | MACD | Daily | 5.9% | 0.35 | -72.7% | 39.2% | 467 | -5.3% |
| 6 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 5.2% | 0.33 | -74.6% | 67.5% | 240 | -6.1% |
| 7 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Daily | 5.3% | 0.33 | -93.8% | 44.2% | 2187 | -6.0% |
| 8 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 4.1% | 0.32 | -78.2% | 44.9% | 127 | -7.0% |
| 9 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 3.9% | 0.31 | -79.3% | 49.5% | 95 | -7.3% |
| 10 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 4.4% | 0.3 | -75.9% | 70.7% | 215 | -6.9% |
| 11 | EMA-10 Trend | Weekly | 3.8% | 0.3 | -78.8% | 46.6% | 221 | -7.4% |
| 12 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 4.1% | 0.29 | -64.7% | 74.3% | 70 | -7.2% |
| 13 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 3.2% | 0.28 | -79.2% | 53.0% | 132 | -8.0% |
| 14 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.26 | -78.3% | 41.7% | 24 | -3.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Host Hotels & Resorts (HST), SMA 50/200 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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