The best indicator for Intel (INTC)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Intel (INTC) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Bollinger Breakout
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Intel (INTC) over ~46.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.5% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.52 | -49.8% | 55.8% | 43 | -4.5% |
| 2 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.51 | -53.2% | 48.6% | 37 | -4.2% |
| 3 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.49 | -58.9% | 47.1% | 121 | -4.0% |
| 4 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.6% | 0.48 | -67.4% | 51.6% | 31 | -4.0% |
| 5 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 9.7% | 0.47 | -70.1% | 37.1% | 620 | -4.9% |
| 6 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 9.5% | 0.45 | -67.3% | 67.4% | 172 | -5.1% |
| 7 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.9% | 0.43 | -78.3% | 37.0% | 27 | -5.8% |
| 8 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.8% | 0.4 | -72.6% | 34.9% | 43 | -6.8% |
| 9 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.39 | -66.9% | 44.9% | 89 | -7.1% |
| 10 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.39 | -63.7% | 49.3% | 140 | -7.1% |
| 11 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 6.8% | 0.37 | -81.4% | 37.5% | 654 | -7.8% |
| 12 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 6.3% | 0.37 | -69.3% | 41.3% | 63 | -8.3% |
| 13 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 6.6% | 0.36 | -77.3% | 43.2% | 148 | -8.0% |
| 14 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 6.2% | 0.35 | -84.3% | 35.6% | 118 | -8.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Intel (INTC), Bollinger Breakout on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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