The best indicator for Invitation Homes (INVH)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Invitation Homes (INVH) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Bollinger Mean-Reversion
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Invitation Homes (INVH) over ~9.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 0.4% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 7.5% | 0.52 | -47.5% | 79.1% | 43 | 0.4% |
| 2 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 6.2% | 0.42 | -47.5% | 68.8% | 48 | -0.9% |
| 3 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 5.5% | 0.39 | -47.5% | 71.0% | 62 | -1.6% |
| 4 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 5.3% | 0.38 | -47.5% | 69.8% | 43 | -1.9% |
| 5 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.49 | -20.4% | 90.9% | 11 | -0.0% |
| 6 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 5.4% | 0.41 | -47.5% | 83.3% | 12 | -1.7% |
| 7 | RSI Trend (>50) | Weekly | 2.9% | 0.27 | -38.4% | 50.0% | 24 | -3.9% |
| 8 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 2.6% | 0.24 | -33.1% | 37.5% | 24 | -4.5% |
| 9 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 2.2% | 0.22 | -47.5% | 64.7% | 17 | -4.9% |
| 10 | ADX / DMI | Weekly | 3.4% | 0.36 | -27.0% | 55.6% | 9 | -3.3% |
| 11 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 3.8% | 0.34 | -24.3% | 62.5% | 8 | -3.0% |
| 12 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 3.4% | 0.31 | -29.9% | 50.0% | 8 | -3.4% |
| 13 | Donchian Midline | Weekly | 1.3% | 0.16 | -44.9% | 44.8% | 29 | -5.4% |
| 14 | MACD | Weekly | 0.9% | 0.14 | -34.7% | 57.1% | 21 | -5.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Invitation Homes (INVH), Bollinger Mean-Reversion on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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