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The best indicator for Invesco (IVZ)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Invesco (IVZ) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Volatility · Weekly

Bollinger Breakout

On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Invesco (IVZ) over ~30.9 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.6% CAGR.

7.1%
CAGR
0.46
Sharpe
-53.2%
Max DD
48.0%
Win rate
3.81
Profit factor
-0.6%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Weekly
Bollinger Breakout
-0.6% · Sharpe 0.46
Daily
EMA 20/50 Cross
+0.8% · Sharpe 0.44
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1Bollinger Breakout Weekly7.1%0.46-53.2%48.0%25-0.6%
2EMA 20/50 Cross Daily8.6%0.44-61.4%35.3%680.8%
3ADX / DMI Daily6.7%0.41-44.9%45.7%186-1.1%
4RSI Trend (>50) Daily6.8%0.37-77.8%39.5%395-1.0%
5EMA-10 Trend Weekly6.5%0.37-56.6%47.0%151-1.2%
6Donchian Breakout Weekly5.1%0.34-52.2%34.6%26-2.6%
7Heikin-Ashi Trend Weekly5.7%0.34-66.2%51.4%282-2.0%
8Donchian Midline Weekly5.6%0.34-72.8%48.8%82-2.1%
9Rate of Change Weekly5.4%0.33-70.0%44.9%89-2.3%
10EMA 50/200 Cross Daily4.9%0.32-68.9%40.9%22-2.8%
11SMA 50/200 Cross Daily5.1%0.32-57.8%52.2%23-2.7%
12MACD Weekly5.1%0.32-81.5%44.1%68-2.6%
13MACD Daily4.5%0.3-63.4%42.3%305-3.2%
14WaveTrend (8/6/4) Weekly4.7%0.3-69.2%66.7%24-3.0%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Invesco (IVZ), Bollinger Breakout on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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