The best indicator for Johnson Controls (JCI)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Johnson Controls (JCI) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Donchian Midline
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Johnson Controls (JCI) over ~38.8 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.4% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 10.0% | 0.53 | -65.7% | 46.4% | 97 | -0.4% |
| 2 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.5 | -68.1% | 55.6% | 27 | -1.8% |
| 3 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.7% | 0.49 | -68.3% | 38.8% | 85 | -1.7% |
| 4 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.49 | -73.8% | 46.7% | 90 | -1.8% |
| 5 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.49 | -80.4% | 46.8% | 109 | -1.4% |
| 6 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.6% | 0.48 | -67.4% | 47.6% | 21 | -1.8% |
| 7 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 7.6% | 0.44 | -52.6% | 42.1% | 382 | -2.9% |
| 8 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 6.2% | 0.42 | -38.3% | 43.4% | 159 | -4.2% |
| 9 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.42 | -71.3% | 46.7% | 15 | -3.2% |
| 10 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 6.9% | 0.42 | -76.0% | 48.3% | 172 | -3.4% |
| 11 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 5.5% | 0.41 | -42.2% | 52.5% | 40 | -4.8% |
| 12 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 5.8% | 0.4 | -63.7% | 59.6% | 57 | -4.5% |
| 13 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 5.6% | 0.36 | -89.4% | 46.4% | 28 | -4.8% |
| 14 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 5.8% | 0.34 | -81.1% | 71.3% | 143 | -4.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Johnson Controls (JCI), Donchian Midline on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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