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The best indicator for KeyCorp (KEY)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real KeyCorp (KEY) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Trend · Weekly

EMA 20/50 Cross

On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for KeyCorp (KEY) over ~38.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.4% CAGR.

6.9%
CAGR
0.42
Sharpe
-56.2%
Max DD
60.0%
Win rate
4.3
Profit factor
-0.4%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Weekly
EMA 20/50 Cross
-0.4% · Sharpe 0.42
Daily
Bollinger Mean-Reversion
+0.2% · Sharpe 0.41
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1EMA 20/50 Cross Weekly6.9%0.42-56.2%60.0%15-0.4%
2Bollinger Mean-Reversion Daily7.6%0.41-66.9%71.1%1730.2%
3EMA 50/200 Cross Daily6.0%0.38-53.4%42.3%26-1.3%
4Donchian Breakout Weekly4.8%0.35-47.2%41.9%31-2.4%
5Stochastic Daily5.4%0.33-66.0%70.9%189-1.9%
6CCI Daily5.4%0.33-62.6%68.1%191-1.9%
7SMA 50/200 CrossDaily4.3%0.3-71.6%53.8%26-3.0%
8Williams %R Daily4.6%0.3-53.8%68.5%251-2.7%
9CCI Weekly4.5%0.3-64.2%74.4%39-2.8%
10WaveTrend (8/6/4) Daily4.1%0.28-64.8%69.2%143-3.2%
11Holy Grail Confluence Daily3.4%0.26-63.9%74.5%47-3.9%
12MACD Weekly3.3%0.26-84.9%51.4%72-4.0%
13Williams %R Weekly3.4%0.26-56.2%67.4%46-3.8%
14Stochastic Weekly3.0%0.25-54.4%65.6%32-4.3%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For KeyCorp (KEY), EMA 20/50 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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