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The best indicator for Kimberly-Clark (KMB)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Kimberly-Clark (KMB) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Volatility · Weekly

Bollinger Mean-Reversion

On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Kimberly-Clark (KMB) over ~46.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.7% CAGR.

4.7%
CAGR
0.57
Sharpe
-25.9%
Max DD
81.2%
Win rate
9.79
Profit factor
-6.7%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Weekly
Bollinger Mean-Reversion
-6.7% · Sharpe 0.57
Daily
Stochastic
-4.6% · Sharpe 0.55
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1Bollinger Mean-Reversion Weekly4.7%0.57-25.9%81.2%32-6.7%
2Stochastic Daily6.8%0.55-36.8%71.8%238-4.6%
3Bollinger Mean-Reversion Daily5.4%0.49-26.8%66.3%187-6.0%
4Holy Grail Confluence Daily5.7%0.49-31.8%74.6%71-5.7%
5SMA 50/200 Cross Daily7.4%0.48-46.5%60.0%35-4.0%
6RSI Mean-Reversion Daily3.7%0.47-22.6%79.7%59-7.7%
7EMA 20/50 Cross Weekly6.6%0.43-48.3%50.0%20-4.9%
8Williams %R Daily4.9%0.42-52.5%68.6%299-6.5%
9Money Flow Index Daily4.9%0.41-35.8%81.4%43-6.5%
10WaveTrend (8/6/4) Weekly4.4%0.41-28.2%77.1%35-7.1%
11EMA 50/200 Cross Daily6.0%0.4-60.6%31.2%32-5.5%
12CCI Weekly3.8%0.38-27.8%81.4%43-7.7%
13EMA 20/50 CrossDaily4.7%0.36-49.8%40.4%104-6.7%
14Donchian Breakout Daily3.9%0.34-36.7%45.8%179-7.5%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Bollinger Mean-Reversion on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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