The best indicator for Kroger (KR)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Kroger (KR) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
EMA 50/200 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Kroger (KR) over ~64.3 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.4% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.1% | 0.54 | -49.8% | 48.5% | 33 | -2.4% |
| 2 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.5% | 0.52 | -60.6% | 57.4% | 47 | -3.0% |
| 3 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.7% | 0.45 | -75.9% | 39.0% | 141 | -4.9% |
| 4 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 5.7% | 0.41 | -68.9% | 67.5% | 320 | -6.9% |
| 5 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 6.2% | 0.4 | -68.2% | 54.2% | 48 | -6.3% |
| 6 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 4.8% | 0.39 | -60.7% | 69.3% | 270 | -7.8% |
| 7 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 5.3% | 0.39 | -58.8% | 41.5% | 448 | -7.3% |
| 8 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.39 | -68.1% | 48.0% | 25 | -3.0% |
| 9 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 5.0% | 0.36 | -60.9% | 66.9% | 414 | -7.5% |
| 10 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 5.3% | 0.36 | -67.1% | 67.4% | 233 | -7.3% |
| 11 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 4.8% | 0.35 | -47.8% | 73.4% | 308 | -7.7% |
| 12 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 5.1% | 0.35 | -83.8% | 43.8% | 192 | -7.4% |
| 13 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 5.0% | 0.34 | -84.3% | 44.9% | 283 | -7.5% |
| 14 | RSI Trend (>50) | Daily | 4.7% | 0.33 | -87.0% | 37.5% | 867 | -7.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Kroger (KR), EMA 50/200 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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