The best indicator for LyondellBasell (LYB)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real LyondellBasell (LYB) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
EMA 20/50 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for LyondellBasell (LYB) over ~16.1 years — beating buy-and-hold by 2.5% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 15.7% | 0.74 | -43.3% | 44.8% | 29 | 2.5% |
| 2 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 11.7% | 0.6 | -47.2% | 55.3% | 38 | -1.3% |
| 3 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 9.1% | 0.52 | -40.1% | 54.2% | 59 | -4.1% |
| 4 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 12.5% | 0.7 | -29.6% | 72.7% | 11 | -0.5% |
| 5 | Donchian Midline | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.46 | -52.3% | 54.8% | 42 | -4.8% |
| 6 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 6.4% | 0.45 | -32.5% | 75.0% | 16 | -6.6% |
| 7 | EMA-10 Trend | Weekly | 7.1% | 0.41 | -66.1% | 51.4% | 70 | -5.9% |
| 8 | Williams %R | Daily | 7.0% | 0.4 | -63.2% | 70.0% | 100 | -6.3% |
| 9 | MACD | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.39 | -59.9% | 51.4% | 35 | -6.4% |
| 10 | Rate of Change | Daily | 6.4% | 0.38 | -66.2% | 41.1% | 270 | -6.8% |
| 11 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 4.8% | 0.32 | -63.5% | 60.0% | 75 | -8.4% |
| 12 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.8% | 0.43 | -39.8% | 36.4% | 11 | -5.4% |
| 13 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 4.7% | 0.31 | -66.4% | 72.0% | 82 | -8.5% |
| 14 | MACD | Daily | 4.3% | 0.3 | -55.2% | 40.0% | 155 | -8.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For LyondellBasell (LYB), EMA 20/50 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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