The best indicator for Mastercard (MA)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Mastercard (MA) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Stochastic
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Mastercard (MA) over ~20.0 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 14.4% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RSI Trend (>50) | Weekly | 17.2% | 0.78 | -47.5% | 57.1% | 49 | -9.7% |
| 2 | Donchian Midline | Weekly | 15.6% | 0.73 | -46.8% | 61.4% | 44 | -11.3% |
| 3 | EMA 20/50 Cross | Daily | 15.1% | 0.7 | -54.1% | 46.5% | 43 | -11.8% |
| 4 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 12.6% | 0.69 | -43.9% | 76.7% | 86 | -14.4% |
| 5 | EMA-10 Trend | Weekly | 13.6% | 0.68 | -51.6% | 58.4% | 89 | -13.3% |
| 6 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 12.6% | 0.65 | -43.9% | 77.2% | 127 | -14.3% |
| 7 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 12.9% | 0.65 | -57.6% | 74.6% | 67 | -14.0% |
| 8 | ADX / DMI | Weekly | 11.3% | 0.62 | -45.6% | 50.0% | 30 | -15.6% |
| 9 | Rate of Change | Weekly | 12.1% | 0.61 | -58.3% | 58.8% | 68 | -14.8% |
| 10 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 9.5% | 0.6 | -33.7% | 79.7% | 74 | -17.5% |
| 11 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 17.3% | 0.74 | -44.1% | 66.7% | 12 | -9.6% |
| 12 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.59 | -41.7% | 57.9% | 195 | -15.9% |
| 13 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 9.2% | 0.51 | -55.2% | 75.8% | 95 | -17.7% |
| 14 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 15.7% | 0.68 | -49.8% | 54.5% | 11 | -11.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Mastercard (MA), Stochastic on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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