The best indicator for Mondelez International (MDLZ)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Mondelez International (MDLZ) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Bollinger Mean-Reversion
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Mondelez International (MDLZ) over ~25.1 years — beating buy-and-hold by 0.4% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 7.6% | 0.6 | -15.1% | 82.6% | 23 | 0.4% |
| 2 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 5.7% | 0.5 | -27.7% | 71.5% | 123 | -1.4% |
| 3 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 4.5% | 0.5 | -24.6% | 65.2% | 23 | -2.7% |
| 4 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 5.9% | 0.45 | -33.1% | 75.8% | 99 | -1.2% |
| 5 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 4.5% | 0.44 | -25.1% | 69.7% | 33 | -2.6% |
| 6 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 4.7% | 0.44 | -30.8% | 76.7% | 30 | -2.5% |
| 7 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 4.5% | 0.43 | -27.7% | 77.8% | 36 | -2.6% |
| 8 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 3.9% | 0.41 | -24.6% | 80.0% | 20 | -3.3% |
| 9 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 3.6% | 0.35 | -35.5% | 64.6% | 113 | -3.5% |
| 10 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 4.1% | 0.35 | -41.4% | 69.8% | 162 | -3.1% |
| 11 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 2.2% | 0.23 | -33.6% | 46.2% | 260 | -4.9% |
| 12 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 2.1% | 0.22 | -32.4% | 67.8% | 121 | -5.0% |
| 13 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 1.6% | 0.21 | -27.7% | 62.5% | 32 | -5.6% |
| 14 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 1.7% | 0.21 | -29.8% | 57.9% | 19 | -5.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Mondelez International (MDLZ), Bollinger Mean-Reversion on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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