The best indicator for Altria (MO)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Altria (MO) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
EMA 50/200 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Altria (MO) over ~64.3 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.9% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 13.5% | 0.73 | -57.8% | 51.4% | 37 | -3.9% |
| 2 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 10.7% | 0.66 | -36.4% | 60.6% | 127 | -6.6% |
| 3 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.9% | 0.65 | -41.5% | 48.9% | 139 | -6.5% |
| 4 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 11.4% | 0.64 | -65.1% | 55.3% | 47 | -6.0% |
| 5 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.5% | 0.64 | -77.6% | 63.6% | 22 | -4.8% |
| 6 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 10.0% | 0.62 | -50.9% | 38.2% | 819 | -7.4% |
| 7 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 8.1% | 0.6 | -51.4% | 41.6% | 392 | -9.2% |
| 8 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 9.6% | 0.59 | -50.3% | 65.4% | 52 | -7.7% |
| 9 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.58 | -36.1% | 50.3% | 189 | -7.5% |
| 10 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 8.0% | 0.56 | -40.5% | 49.8% | 257 | -9.4% |
| 11 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Daily | 7.9% | 0.52 | -71.0% | 45.6% | 2983 | -9.4% |
| 12 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 8.1% | 0.52 | -57.6% | 38.3% | 857 | -9.3% |
| 13 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Daily | 7.6% | 0.49 | -66.0% | 42.1% | 1422 | -9.8% |
| 14 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | 5.7% | 0.48 | -42.0% | 46.8% | 293 | -11.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Altria (MO), EMA 50/200 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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