The best indicator for Mosaic Company (The) (MOS)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Stochastic
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) over ~38.5 years — beating buy-and-hold by 2.3% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADX / DMI | Weekly | 6.2% | 0.38 | -61.2% | 48.8% | 43 | 3.1% |
| 2 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 5.4% | 0.33 | -76.8% | 66.7% | 48 | 2.3% |
| 3 | RSI Trend (>50) | Daily | 5.1% | 0.32 | -80.3% | 39.5% | 504 | 1.9% |
| 4 | EMA-10 Trend | Daily | 5.0% | 0.31 | -83.5% | 42.8% | 822 | 1.8% |
| 5 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 4.8% | 0.31 | -76.8% | 69.5% | 59 | 1.7% |
| 6 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 4.6% | 0.3 | -73.3% | 38.1% | 507 | 1.4% |
| 7 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 4.4% | 0.3 | -68.0% | 42.0% | 112 | 1.4% |
| 8 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 4.0% | 0.28 | -57.4% | 55.8% | 43 | 0.8% |
| 9 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 3.9% | 0.28 | -67.6% | 50.0% | 30 | 0.8% |
| 10 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 2.8% | 0.25 | -86.6% | 64.8% | 142 | -0.5% |
| 11 | CCI | Weekly | 3.0% | 0.24 | -53.1% | 66.7% | 36 | -0.1% |
| 12 | ADX / DMI | Daily | 2.7% | 0.23 | -74.8% | 39.3% | 262 | -0.5% |
| 13 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 2.7% | 0.23 | -63.2% | 25.7% | 35 | -0.4% |
| 14 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 2.1% | 0.22 | -79.9% | 39.5% | 372 | -1.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Mosaic Company (The) (MOS), Stochastic on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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