The best indicator for Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Money Flow Index
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) over ~21.5 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 8.6% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 18.6% | 0.75 | -46.3% | 82.6% | 23 | -8.6% |
| 2 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 20.1% | 0.74 | -51.2% | 55.0% | 191 | -6.9% |
| 3 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 19.8% | 0.73 | -49.6% | 50.0% | 90 | -7.2% |
| 4 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 16.1% | 0.63 | -50.8% | 52.5% | 59 | -10.9% |
| 5 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 13.1% | 0.62 | -54.5% | 95.0% | 20 | -13.9% |
| 6 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 15.5% | 0.61 | -53.0% | 44.9% | 49 | -11.5% |
| 7 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 13.6% | 0.58 | -48.9% | 49.1% | 53 | -13.4% |
| 8 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 14.2% | 0.57 | -75.4% | 43.4% | 212 | -13.0% |
| 9 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 14.2% | 0.56 | -53.1% | 51.1% | 47 | -13.0% |
| 10 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 10.9% | 0.56 | -61.4% | 82.4% | 17 | -16.1% |
| 11 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 13.0% | 0.54 | -56.4% | 47.6% | 63 | -14.0% |
| 12 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 11.5% | 0.53 | -61.6% | 79.4% | 34 | -15.7% |
| 13 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 14.0% | 0.54 | -72.9% | 64.3% | 14 | -13.2% |
| 14 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 11.8% | 0.54 | -54.4% | 85.7% | 14 | -15.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR), Money Flow Index on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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