The best indicator for MSCI Inc. (MSCI)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real MSCI Inc. (MSCI) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
CCI
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for MSCI Inc. (MSCI) over ~18.6 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 9.5% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.67 | -36.7% | 85.0% | 20 | -9.5% |
| 2 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.61 | -30.3% | 85.7% | 14 | -9.7% |
| 3 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.9% | 0.54 | -57.4% | 40.0% | 15 | -8.6% |
| 4 | Donchian Breakout | Weekly | 10.7% | 0.61 | -49.8% | 30.8% | 13 | -8.9% |
| 5 | EMA 50/200 Cross | Daily | 10.7% | 0.52 | -61.0% | 26.7% | 15 | -8.8% |
| 6 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 9.4% | 0.52 | -56.9% | 85.2% | 27 | -10.1% |
| 7 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 6.6% | 0.51 | -31.6% | 55.6% | 18 | -13.0% |
| 8 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 9.2% | 0.51 | -52.9% | 50.6% | 172 | -10.5% |
| 9 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.9% | 0.51 | -42.8% | 46.9% | 81 | -10.7% |
| 10 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.5 | -51.2% | 78.3% | 23 | -11.4% |
| 11 | RSI Trend (>50) | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.47 | -53.0% | 44.4% | 54 | -11.1% |
| 12 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 8.1% | 0.45 | -58.5% | 51.0% | 290 | -11.4% |
| 13 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 7.3% | 0.45 | -41.2% | 54.2% | 24 | -12.3% |
| 14 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 7.7% | 0.45 | -47.0% | 48.8% | 43 | -11.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For MSCI Inc. (MSCI), CCI on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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