The best indicator for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
RSI Mean-Reversion
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) over ~13.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 11.5% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 9.4% | 0.48 | -50.9% | 83.3% | 24 | 11.5% |
| 2 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.47 | -50.7% | 68.4% | 19 | 12.6% |
| 3 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.46 | -61.3% | 66.7% | 15 | 13.0% |
| 4 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 16.6% | 0.57 | -60.8% | 66.7% | 12 | 18.7% |
| 5 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 9.7% | 0.43 | -58.8% | 38.7% | 124 | 11.7% |
| 6 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 6.2% | 0.36 | -81.2% | 68.4% | 19 | 8.2% |
| 7 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Daily | 6.0% | 0.34 | -63.4% | 44.9% | 679 | 8.1% |
| 8 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 4.9% | 0.34 | -77.3% | 70.6% | 17 | 7.0% |
| 9 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 0.1% | 0.21 | -82.0% | 76.9% | 13 | 2.1% |
| 10 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Daily | -0.2% | 0.17 | -60.3% | 41.0% | 307 | 1.9% |
| 11 | CCI | Daily | -2.8% | 0.14 | -87.0% | 67.2% | 67 | -0.7% |
| 12 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | -1.2% | 0.13 | -71.7% | 35.8% | 176 | 0.9% |
| 13 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | -1.8% | 0.12 | -69.6% | 43.8% | 219 | 0.2% |
| 14 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | -2.9% | 0.12 | -84.3% | 70.0% | 20 | -0.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH), RSI Mean-Reversion on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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