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The best indicator for Newmont (NEM)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Newmont (NEM) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Oscillator · Weekly

WaveTrend (8/6/4)

On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Newmont (NEM) over ~46.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 2.2% CAGR.

8.5%
CAGR
0.44
Sharpe
-51.6%
Max DD
78.0%
Win rate
4.53
Profit factor
+2.2%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Weekly
WaveTrend (8/6/4)
+2.2% · Sharpe 0.44
Daily
Money Flow Index
+0.7% · Sharpe 0.39
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1WaveTrend (8/6/4) Weekly8.5%0.44-51.6%78.0%412.2%
2Williams %R Weekly7.1%0.42-61.8%75.4%690.8%
3Money Flow Index Daily7.0%0.39-56.4%75.9%540.7%
4CCI Weekly6.5%0.39-59.9%74.5%510.3%
5Bollinger Mean-Reversion Weekly4.9%0.36-47.1%84.6%39-1.4%
6Stochastic Weekly5.8%0.36-61.8%74.1%54-0.4%
7Holy Grail Confluence Weekly5.3%0.36-56.5%85.7%14-1.0%
8WaveTrend (8/6/4) Daily5.3%0.32-68.3%66.3%181-1.1%
9MACD Daily5.0%0.31-61.4%42.9%462-1.4%
10StochasticDaily3.1%0.25-68.2%65.5%252-3.3%
11Williams %R Daily3.3%0.25-67.3%65.5%310-3.1%
12CCI Daily3.3%0.25-67.4%70.7%229-3.1%
13EMA 20/50 Cross Weekly3.2%0.25-79.1%50.0%22-3.1%
14MACD Weekly3.0%0.24-76.7%40.4%94-3.3%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Newmont (NEM), WaveTrend (8/6/4) on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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