The best indicator for NRG Energy (NRG)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real NRG Energy (NRG) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
ADX / DMI
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for NRG Energy (NRG) over ~22.5 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.3% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 8.4% | 0.51 | -39.0% | 36.8% | 136 | -5.3% |
| 2 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.5% | 0.5 | -58.3% | 40.0% | 15 | -3.2% |
| 3 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 8.0% | 0.46 | -42.3% | 45.2% | 31 | -5.4% |
| 4 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 7.9% | 0.43 | -62.1% | 42.4% | 342 | -5.9% |
| 5 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.9% | 0.42 | -66.1% | 31.2% | 16 | -5.8% |
| 6 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 6.2% | 0.42 | -37.0% | 52.6% | 19 | -7.2% |
| 7 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 8.0% | 0.41 | -70.2% | 73.9% | 88 | -5.7% |
| 8 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 7.0% | 0.39 | -57.9% | 38.2% | 296 | -6.7% |
| 9 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 7.1% | 0.39 | -57.1% | 44.3% | 61 | -6.3% |
| 10 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.39 | -68.3% | 49.5% | 200 | -6.4% |
| 11 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 6.8% | 0.37 | -73.5% | 80.0% | 35 | -6.6% |
| 12 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 6.4% | 0.37 | -55.3% | 41.9% | 74 | -7.0% |
| 13 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 6.2% | 0.36 | -62.7% | 71.7% | 106 | -7.5% |
| 14 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 5.4% | 0.34 | -72.5% | 37.1% | 302 | -8.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For NRG Energy (NRG), ADX / DMI on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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