The best indicator for Paccar (PCAR)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Paccar (PCAR) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
WaveTrend (8/6/4)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Paccar (PCAR) over ~46.2 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.5% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 10.1% | 0.54 | -46.2% | 72.6% | 190 | -4.5% |
| 2 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 6.2% | 0.47 | -28.8% | 82.9% | 35 | -8.6% |
| 3 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 7.6% | 0.45 | -51.6% | 72.7% | 227 | -6.9% |
| 4 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.45 | -56.3% | 51.6% | 95 | -7.4% |
| 5 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Weekly | 6.4% | 0.48 | -34.3% | 100.0% | 14 | -8.4% |
| 6 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.7% | 0.43 | -52.6% | 51.5% | 33 | -6.8% |
| 7 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 6.6% | 0.41 | -55.8% | 75.7% | 37 | -8.2% |
| 8 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 6.2% | 0.4 | -72.8% | 71.5% | 246 | -8.4% |
| 9 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 5.8% | 0.4 | -52.6% | 84.4% | 45 | -9.0% |
| 10 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 6.3% | 0.39 | -76.6% | 41.2% | 452 | -8.2% |
| 11 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 6.0% | 0.37 | -56.8% | 47.2% | 163 | -8.8% |
| 12 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 5.8% | 0.35 | -50.5% | 44.7% | 38 | -8.8% |
| 13 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 5.0% | 0.35 | -56.3% | 85.4% | 41 | -9.8% |
| 14 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 5.4% | 0.35 | -62.2% | 43.7% | 135 | -9.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Paccar (PCAR), WaveTrend (8/6/4) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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